A government-appointed committee has said that India has crossed the coronavirus peak and predicted that the epidemic can be brought under control by early next year if all safety measures are followed. “If all protocols are followed, the pandemic can be controlled by early next year with minimal active cases by February end,” said a member of the panel. The committee, however, underscored that protective measures must continue.
The total number of infections by the time the epidemic ends in February 2021, would be about 105 lakh (10.5 million), it said. Currently India’s total infections stand at 75 lakh.
In the absence of lockdown in March, India’s total deaths could have exceeded 25 lakh by August this year, the committee said. Currently, the country has logged 1.14 lakh fatalities.
The committee was appointed to come out with “Indian National Supermodel” — a mathematical model for Covid-19 — that can shed light on the likely trajectory of the pandemic in India.